Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.622174 0.691660 0.766884 0.854560 0.954180 1.064125 1.195022
2025-07-27 0.513616 0.609275 0.721009 0.861982 1.036254 1.246117 1.520214
2025-08-03 0.450806 0.558244 0.690271 0.866094 1.096566 1.391824 1.804282
2025-08-10 0.407965 0.522823 0.669851 0.874471 1.156024 1.535990 2.098247
2025-08-17 0.364351 0.480044 0.633134 0.854046 1.170533 1.616792 2.310511
2025-08-24 0.339443 0.458797 0.621659 0.864776 1.226632 1.758745 2.626482
2025-08-31 0.313583 0.433295 0.601060 0.859041 1.256206 1.862577 2.895213
2025-09-07 0.294194 0.414921 0.588368 0.862642 1.298641 1.988693 3.214330
2025-09-14 0.272863 0.391761 0.566334 0.849259 1.311987 2.068336 3.463922
2025-09-21 0.255174 0.372522 0.548368 0.840051 1.330191 2.156519 3.738664
2025-09-28 0.233850 0.346154 0.517326 0.806838 1.304576 2.166098 3.868880
2025-10-05 0.226277 0.340470 0.518059 0.825482 1.368711 2.339397 4.333888
2025-10-12 0.217418 0.332334 0.514558 0.837207 1.422867 2.502817 4.809554
2025-10-19 0.208765 0.323936 0.509996 0.846675 1.473932 2.666718 5.314019
2025-10-26 0.199853 0.314449 0.502804 0.850623 1.514704 2.814870 5.808400
2025-11-02 0.192437 0.306918 0.498294 0.858828 1.564103 2.985735 6.382530
2025-11-09 0.180926 0.291709 0.479431 0.838829 1.555862 3.035990 6.682302
2025-11-16 0.175196 0.286065 0.476934 0.849335 1.609786 3.224572 7.351228
2025-11-23 0.167433 0.276387 0.466549 0.843720 1.629724 3.340853 7.858654
2025-11-30 0.161569 0.269705 0.461111 0.847246 1.669073 3.505333 8.523072
2025-12-07 0.153800 0.259164 0.447893 0.834141 1.671122 3.583443 8.966895
2025-12-14 0.147113 0.250222 0.437109 0.825124 1.681242 3.681872 9.487248
2025-12-21 0.137837 0.236070 0.415682 0.792598 1.635493 3.638804 9.586619